Feb 24, 2025 · In 2023, we made changes to the way we calculated our favorability, approval, generic congressional ballot and national 2024 Republican primary polling averages.

FiveThirtyEight

Dec 6, 2022 · State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the …

[ { "candidate": "Trump", "party": "REP", "date": "2024-11-05", "pct_estimate": 47.70895, "hi": 48.774834999999996, "lo": 46.7367025 }, { "candidate": "Harris ...

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors …

Feb 25, 2025 · State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the …

Jul 15, 2019 · The Model’s Output DATE OF RUN: POLLS ANALYZED: DAYS UNTIL ELECTION: 11/04/14 1670 0

Feb 14, 2025 · State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the …

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of the race (if available), polls of similar races (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals).

Apr 7, 2020 · See the polls behind the forecast: All Connecticut polls and polling averages »